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Henry Hub Ticks Up With Dip in US Production Despite Low LNG Flows

NATGAS

US natural gas edging higher today to continue the gradual rally from around 2.15$/mmbt on 2 June due to warm weather on the Gulf Coast, a dip in US production and with rising global prices offsetting lower LNG export flows.

    • US Natgas JUL 23 up 0.6% at 2.35$/mmbtu
  • Domestic production is today down to 97.5bcf/d compared to over 101bcf/d on 11 -12 June. Production is reduced by approximately 3bcf/d due to outages on pipelines including Texas Gas Transmission according to Bloomberg but the decline in pipeline nominations may overstate reality according to EBW AnalyticsGroup.
  • The US weather forecast remains unchanged from yesterday with the NOAA 6- 14 forecast showing above normal temperatures expected in the Gulf Coast and central regions but below normal forecast for the east and west coasts. Domestic demand remains above the five year average at 66.4bcf/d today according to Bloomberg.
  • Delivery flows to the US LNG export terminals are today at 11.2bcf/d having fallen to the lowest of the year of 10.86bcf/d according to Bloomberg with a small dip in supply to Calcasieu Pass LNG ad Freeport LNG amid ongoing maintenance at Sabine Pass LNG.
  • Export flows to Mexico are today estimated up at 6.8bcf/d.

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