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Free AccessHigh Inflation Could Linger as Commods Prices Spike Again: World Bank
High inflation could remain for longer as the 2-year decline in commodity prices has plateaued, according to the World Bank, cited by Business Insider.
- The World Bank warned that significant disruption could propel oil prices beyond $100/b, which would add a full percentage point to global inflation in 2024.
- Oil prices have already been elevated by cuts to OPEC+ production which have been extended until Q2. Tensions in the Middle East have also added a geopolitical risk premium to crude.
- Fears of lower growth and high inflation were on show in US data for PCE and Q1 GDP.
- Q1 Core PCE price index: 3.7% (3.4% expected, 2.0% prior) - unrounded figure to follow shortly. Q1 GDP: 1.6% (2.5% expected, 3.4% prior).
- This means that the Fed will likely further delay rate cuts, which had previously been predicted to begin in June.
- Any rate cut could stimulate economic growth and would drive up oil demand, thus becoming more bullish for oil prices in the longer term.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.