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NATGAS: High TTF Pricing May Support Gas-To-Gasoil Switching In Europe

NATGAS

High TTF pricing may support gas-to-gasoil switching in Europe, Bloomberg reports. 

  • TTF surpassed the equivalent of $100/bbl on Monday, a two-year high.
  • This puts European natural gas pricing slightly ahead of the benchmark diesel future in Europe, which hasn’t happened since early 2023.
  • The price jump raises the prospect for more switching from gas to petroleum products, including gasoil, where flexibility is available.
  • “We have already seen increased gas-to-fuel oil switching and gas-to-gasoil is next,” said Eugene Lindell, head of refined products at consultancy FGE. “This is one of the pillars of gasoil strength right now.”
  • However, gas-to-gasoil switching will increase gasoil demand in Europe by less than 100k b/d, according to FGE.
  • The switch to other fuels may also be seen in Asia, which competes with Europe for LNG imports.
  • “Europe and Asia will all lean towards consuming more oil and more coal if they in any way can do so,” SEB AB said in a note.
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High TTF pricing may support gas-to-gasoil switching in Europe, Bloomberg reports. 

  • TTF surpassed the equivalent of $100/bbl on Monday, a two-year high.
  • This puts European natural gas pricing slightly ahead of the benchmark diesel future in Europe, which hasn’t happened since early 2023.
  • The price jump raises the prospect for more switching from gas to petroleum products, including gasoil, where flexibility is available.
  • “We have already seen increased gas-to-fuel oil switching and gas-to-gasoil is next,” said Eugene Lindell, head of refined products at consultancy FGE. “This is one of the pillars of gasoil strength right now.”
  • However, gas-to-gasoil switching will increase gasoil demand in Europe by less than 100k b/d, according to FGE.
  • The switch to other fuels may also be seen in Asia, which competes with Europe for LNG imports.
  • “Europe and Asia will all lean towards consuming more oil and more coal if they in any way can do so,” SEB AB said in a note.