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Hike Expectations Dip On Ramsden "Modest Tightening" Comment

BOE

BoE hike expectations slip on release of Ramsden speech; March meeting implied hike down to 32bp from ~35bp earlier as Ramsden - who voted for 50bp previously - makes comments seen as less hawkish. Markets eyeing the "modest" language in that regard:

  • "Looking ahead, like the rest of the Committee I judge that if the economy develops broadly in line with the February MPR forecast, some further modest tightening in monetary policy is likely to be appropriate in the coming months. The word “modest” is significant here though – I do not envisage Bank Rate rising to anything like its pre-2007 level of 5% or above, let alone to the kind of levels we used to see before the MPC was formed in 1997."

OIS Implied March BoE Rate ChangeSource: BBG

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