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Holding onto gains

US TSY FLOWS

US treasuries are holding onto gains, despite better selling interest in EGBs, albeit in thinner volumes.

  • Risk remain tilted to the downside, given the more Hawkish FOMC minutes yesterday, when "some members" are open to discuss tapering as early as the next meeting in June and going forward.
  • US 5/30s trades flat, unwinding some of the post FOMC minutes.
  • Support in TYM1 will be seen at 131.30 (yesterday's low), but better at 131.27.
  • Resistance moves down to 132.07+.
  • Upside initial target in 10yr yield is further out, at 1.7811% (mentioned in Jan), the 50% retracement of the 2018-2020 fall.
  • We managed a 1.7742% high on 30/03


Chart source: Bloomberg

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