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Home Lending Drops But Has Strong Momentum

AUSTRALIA DATA

Housing finance in December was weak falling 4.1% m/m after a downwardly-revised +0.7%. The weakness was concentrated in lending for owner occupiers (-5.6% m/m) but investor loans also fell (1.3% m/m). But the weak end to 2023 follows four consecutive rises for owner-occupiers and nine for investors. Housing finance is still showing strong momentum and with soft building approvals, demand is likely to continue to push dwelling prices higher.

  • The value of December home loans was 11.7% higher than a year ago with owner occupiers +7.4% y/y and investors +20.4% y/y. 3-month momentum is running at close to 40% annualised. The ABS observes that the share of lending going to investors has risen to 35.5% from 27.3% four years ago.
  • The number of first time home buyers fell 8.4% m/m but were still up 12.9% y/y and the value of their loans fell 5.5% m/m but was +21% y/y.
  • Value of new personal loans fell 2.4% m/m due to lower car loans.
Australia value of housing finance y/y%

Source: MNI - Market News/ABS

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