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House Price Growth Slows As Higher Relative Supply Weighs

US DATA
  • FHFA house prices were in line in November, increasing a seasonally adjusted 0.31% M/M (cons 0.3) after a downward revised 0.27% (initial 0.34) in Oct.
  • It’s the second month with a rounded 0.3, the slowest monthly pace since Jan’23 having increased an average 0.7% M/M in the eight months through Feb-Sep.
  • S&P CoreLogic 20-city prices missed meanwhile, rising a seasonally adjusted 0.15% M/M seasonally (cons 0.50) after an almost unrevised 0.63% M/M in Oct.
  • In a similar pattern to the FHFA data, it marks the softest print since Feb’23.
  • The softer pace of seasonally adjusted house price growth has come as existing home sale relative supply has closed the gap with pre-pandemic years for the early winter months – see charts.

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