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Houthi Attacks On Shipping Set To Continue Amid Regional Proxy War

SECURITY

There appears to be little sign of an end to the uptick in aerial attacks on shipping in the Red Sea and the Gulf of Aden, with two Liberian-flagged vessels hit by drones and ballistic missiles earlier today in the Bab al-Mandab Strait (also known as the 'Gate of Grief') between Yemen and Eritrea/Djibouti. The attacks on international shipping in the region carried out by Iranian-backed Houthi rebels have intensified in recent weeks amid the ongoing Israel-Hamas war.

  • Our Commodities team noted earlier the attacks and the the impact they are having on shipping operations and oil markets in the region (see 'Mounting Vessel Attacks In Bab al-Mandab Strait This Week', 1020GMT, 'Crude Surges On Shipping Risks, Lower USD', 1424GMT 14 Dec).
  • Spokesmen for the Houthi groups have said that the attacks are in response to the Israel-Hamas war and will continue until Israel's military incursion into Gaza stops. The US and its allies have pointed the finger at Iran for both arming and directing the actions of the Houthis, something denied by Tehran but running in line with Iran's efforts to isolate and weaken Israel amid the its war against Hamas.
  • Yemeni Foreign Minister Ahmad Awad bin Mubarak speaking to Saudi-run Al Arabiya stated that the Houthi attacks are "...like declaring a regional and international war if there is severe damage to ships."
  • Global and regional military powers, notably the US and the UK, have committed to an increased force presence in the waters around the Strait. Meanwhile, shipping companies are bolstering their own private security operations as well as seeking military consultation on how to combat drone and missile attacks.

Map of Bab al-Mandab Strait and Surrounds

Source: WSJ, MarineTraffic. Note: Ship traffic for Dec. 11

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