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HUF: Global Themes Continue to Weigh on Forint

HUF
  • Global equity weakness and the broader pressure on the emerging market FX basket keeps the HUF on the back foot Tuesday.
  • EURHUF briefly touched the 392.00 handle at the start of the session, reaching its highest level since the end of April. The cross now stands an impressive 2.4% higher compared to last week’s lows.
  • Last week’s rally resulted in a break of both the 20- and 50-day EMAs, signalling scope for a continuation higher near-term. Attention turns to trendline resistance at 391.94, drawn from the Mar 12 high, which was briefly pierced this morning. A clear break could expose 393.24 - 61.8% retracement of the Mar 12 - May 28 bear leg (see below).

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