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IEA Places Most of the European Gas Saving's on Warm Weather

NATURAL GAS

EU gas demand fell by 55 bcm in 2022, its steepest drop on record according to the IEA.

  • The IEA’s first estimates show that milder weather accounted for about one-third of the demand decline seen in 2022. Most of that concentrated in Q4, when a particularly mild October and November effectively delayed the European heating season by a month.
  • Demand destruction in industry, especially in the most gas-intensive industries, accounted for just over 20% of the demand drop.
  • Fuel-switching to more polluting fuels (primarily fuel oil and coal) accounted for at least 25% of the demand reduction.
  • Altogether, structural demand reduction accounted to an estimated 20% in 2022 -the other 80% is lucky weather.




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