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Implied Rate Reversal Nearly Complete After ECB Pushback

STIR

After Knot and Lagarde's comments this morning, and the ECB December meeting accounts showing a "large number" of Governing Council officials preferred a 75bp hike to the 50bp delivered, ECB terminal hike pricing is now only 2bp below its pre-Bloomberg sources story level on Tues.

  • At 141bp in cumulative hikes priced to July, it's 14+bp above the week's low. (see chart).
  • And cumulative hike pricing to the March meeting is back to 91bp, 1bp below pre-BBG piece and 9bp above the week's low.

Source: BBG, MNI

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