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Italy comes to markets........>

ITALY AUCTION PREVIEW
ITALY AUCTION PREVIEW: Italy comes to markets Thursday for the second time this
week, re-opening Oct-23 2.45% BTP for E3.00-3.75bln, Dec-28 2.80% BTP for
E1.75-2.25bln, and CCTeu Oct-24 and CCTeu Sep-25 for a total of E1.25-1.75bln.
- BACKGROUND: The auction comes as BTP yields are retracing from multi-month
highs, following reports Wednesday that the government may request the ECB to
continue its asset purchase programme (later denied by Rome).
- RV/HISTORY: Despite some relief in the past 48 hours, perceived risk of Italy
remains high, with the 5-year credit default swap at 253bps, near the May high
of 271bps. The belly of the Italian nominal curve has underperformed over the
past week, with 5-Year BTPs trading in a 35bps range topping out at 2.485%, last
at 2.404%, while 10-Years have traded in a 28bps range topping out 3.206%, last
at 3.120%. Still, the CTZ auction on Tuesday went smoothly (selling E1.75bln of
Mar-20 at top end of target range, on 1.9x cover vs 1.6x previous), and the
E6.7bln in coupon payments by Italy this week are seen supporting the auction.
- TIMING: Auction results are due after the auction closes at 1100GMT.

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