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January Activity Data Beats Across The Board, CLP Strengthens

CHILE
  • Data just published showed broad strength, with manufacturing production, industrial production and retail sales all showing strong beats of the median surveyed estimates. This sets the stage for tomorrow’s economic activity (Imacec) data, where growth is expected to rise 0.3% m/m, which should translate to an annual pick up to +0.1% Y/y.
  • The data is supporting the Chilean peso in early trade, which has notably been on a firmer footing this week. Bolstering the most recent recovery has been the return of USD sales from the finance ministry. Hacienda has sold $100 mil on both Tuesday and Wednesday, taking the total of USD sales to $300 mil for February. JPMorgan said earlier in the week that "while USD sales by the treasury are unlikely to materially alter the CLP trajectory, they represent a risk factor for CLP shorts given current levels and positioning by foreign investors."
  • In local news, the government expects to lay out by March the broad terms of lithium contracts to be offered under a new public-private partnership model, Mining Minister Aurora Williams told reporters on Wednesday.

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