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US TSYS/7Y: Jefferies money market economist Tom Simons said today's $28B 7-year
note auction "stopped 0.9 bps above where the WI was bid at 1:00PM at 1.941%.
This is the lowest yield on a 7-year note auction since October 2016."
- He adds that "indirects took down 68.8% of the auction, which is a bit below
the recent average. However the recent average is skewed to the upside because
of the 81.7% takedown in April that was, as the time, a record high for all
Treasury coupon auctions, dating back to May 2003."
- He adds "on the other side of the coin, Dealers took down 14.6% of the
auction, the smallest since the 8.8% record-low takedown in April and the second
lowest on record."
- He said "directs took down 16.6%, solidly above average. Another big Direct
bid, following a strong showing in yesterday's 5-year auction, suggests that a
major player had interest in the belly of the curve. However, the
underperformance of the long-end yesterday and today ahead of the auction makes
it difficult to determine if this is new money coming into the market or simply
a rotation trade out of the long-end."