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JGBS AUCTION: Mixed Result For Today’s 2Y Supply

JGBS AUCTION

The 2-year bond auction displayed mixed demand metrics today. The low price surpassed dealer expectations, which had been set at 100.025 according to a Bloomberg poll. However, the cover ratio declined to 3.6296x from 4.8738x and the auction tail lengthened versus the previous month.

  • The auction took place with the 2-year yield standing at its highest level since 2008 and 10–15bps above last month’s auction levels.
  • The 2/5 yield curve was slightly steeper, while the 2/10 curve had flattened slightly compared to the previous month.
  • The auction did occur after today’s Tokyo CPI print, a leading indicator of the national average, which showed an acceleration across all measures.
  • Currently, OIS pricing sits 6–19bps firmer across meetings versus pre-BOJ MPM (Oct), with September 2025 leading the gains.
  • Today’s auction results contrast with the strong demand metrics observed in the 5-year auction earlier this month.
  • Following the auction, the cash 2-year yield has remained largely stable in post-auction trading. 
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The 2-year bond auction displayed mixed demand metrics today. The low price surpassed dealer expectations, which had been set at 100.025 according to a Bloomberg poll. However, the cover ratio declined to 3.6296x from 4.8738x and the auction tail lengthened versus the previous month.

  • The auction took place with the 2-year yield standing at its highest level since 2008 and 10–15bps above last month’s auction levels.
  • The 2/5 yield curve was slightly steeper, while the 2/10 curve had flattened slightly compared to the previous month.
  • The auction did occur after today’s Tokyo CPI print, a leading indicator of the national average, which showed an acceleration across all measures.
  • Currently, OIS pricing sits 6–19bps firmer across meetings versus pre-BOJ MPM (Oct), with September 2025 leading the gains.
  • Today’s auction results contrast with the strong demand metrics observed in the 5-year auction earlier this month.
  • Following the auction, the cash 2-year yield has remained largely stable in post-auction trading.