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JGBS: Futures Weaker & Near Session Lows After BoJ Policy Decision

JGBS

JGB futures are weaker and near Tokyo session lows, -11 compared to the settlement levels.

  • The BoJ largely maintained its assessment of the overall economy and major economic components, although it slightly upgraded its assessment of private consumption, following the Board's decision to hold the policy rate steady at 0.25% today.
  • The bank said private consumption has been on a "moderate increasing trend despite the impact of price rises and other factors.” The previous view held that private consumption "has been resilient.”
  • “Inflation expectations have risen moderately,” the BoJ added.
  • The bank also maintained its view on future inflation, saying that in the second half of the projection period to March 2027, the medium- to long-term inflation expectations are likely to be at a level that is generally consistent with the price stability target.
  • Cash US tsys are 1-2bps richer, with a steepening bias, in today’s Asia-Pac session after yesterday’s modest twist-steepening. There is no US data today, but Fed speakers return. Data will resume on Monday with flash PMIs.
  • Cash JGBs are weaker across benchmarks with yields 0.3bp higher (20-year) to 3.1bps higher (1-year).
  • Swap rates are 1-2bps higher. Swap spreads are mixed.
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JGB futures are weaker and near Tokyo session lows, -11 compared to the settlement levels.

  • The BoJ largely maintained its assessment of the overall economy and major economic components, although it slightly upgraded its assessment of private consumption, following the Board's decision to hold the policy rate steady at 0.25% today.
  • The bank said private consumption has been on a "moderate increasing trend despite the impact of price rises and other factors.” The previous view held that private consumption "has been resilient.”
  • “Inflation expectations have risen moderately,” the BoJ added.
  • The bank also maintained its view on future inflation, saying that in the second half of the projection period to March 2027, the medium- to long-term inflation expectations are likely to be at a level that is generally consistent with the price stability target.
  • Cash US tsys are 1-2bps richer, with a steepening bias, in today’s Asia-Pac session after yesterday’s modest twist-steepening. There is no US data today, but Fed speakers return. Data will resume on Monday with flash PMIs.
  • Cash JGBs are weaker across benchmarks with yields 0.3bp higher (20-year) to 3.1bps higher (1-year).
  • Swap rates are 1-2bps higher. Swap spreads are mixed.