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Kilicdaroglu Leads In Latest Poll, But Short Of 1st Round Majority

TURKEY

The latest opinionpoll from ORCahead of the 14 May general election shows opposition candidate Kemal Kilicdaroglu holding a first round lead over incumbent President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan. However, if reflected in the first-round vote, it would not be sufficient to avoid a run-off on 28 May. The poll shows Kılıçdaroğlu down 1% to 48% support, while Erdoğan has gained 3% to rise to 45% support.

  • ORC Presidential Election First Round Poll: Kılıçdaroğlu (CHP): 48% (-1), Erdoğan (AKP): 45% (+3), İnce (MP): 4% (-2), Oğan: 3% (+1). +/- vs. 19-22 April 2023. Fieldwork: 29 April-1 May 2023. Sample size: 3,920
  • ORC Parliamentary Election Poll: AKP (People's Alliance): 33%, CHP (Nation Alliance): 28% (-1), İYİ (Nation): 16% (+1), YSP (L&F Alliance): 10% (+1), MHP (People): 6%,TİP (L&FA): 2% (+1), MP: 2% (-1), BBP (People): 2%, YRP (People): 1%. +/- vs. 19-22 April 2023. Fieldwork: 29 April-1 May 2023. Sample size: 3,950

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