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Kiwi Recoups Losses, RBNZ Weighs Implications Of Higher Oil Prices
NZD/USD clawed back its initial losses on Monday amid strong performance from the commodity complex. Participants assessed the consequences of Russia's aggression against Ukraine/Western sanctions against Moscow, which overshadowed any local developments.
- RBNZ Asst Gov Hawkesby told interest.co.nz that the central bank is closely watching the implications of oil price increases, resulting from the Russian invasion of Ukraine, for domestic inflation over the medium term. Hawkesby noted that "if oil prices stay where they are at the moment," then "we'll have higher CPI outturns over the next quarter or so than we had factored into our statement."
- Looking ahead, focus turns to New Zealand's building permits & terms of trade (Wednesday) as well as ANZ Consumer Confidence (Friday).
- NZD/USD trades flat at $0.6772 at typing. A clearance of Feb 23/Jan 19 highs of $0.6809/12 would shift focus to Jan 13 high of $0.6891. Conversely, a retreat under Feb 24 low of $0.6631 would bring Feb 14/4 lows of $0.6593/90 into play.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.