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Free AccessLagarde Speech: Analysts Mixed On Dovish vs Hawkish Tone
Reminder, ECB Pres Lagarde delivers a speech at Jackson Hole at 1500ET / 2000UK / 2100CET. Here are a few analyst views on what to expect (note all previews were written prior to Fed Chair Powell's speech):
- Commerzbank: "Given the deteriorating economic outlook in the euro area, which contrasts with the ECB's expected acceleration of growth in the second half of the year, she could provide more dovish pointers than Powell, who is likely to stick to the "soft landing" scenario for the US economy."
- UniCredit: "We do not expect Ms. Lagarde to provide any clear hints about the September rate decision, given that further important data will be published before the meeting (especially the flash estimate for August inflation) and as the updated staff forecasts are not yet available to the Governing Council. Therefore, she might decide to focus on the need for the ECB to show persistence in maintaining a restrictive monetary policy until inflation is well on track to hit 2%."
- ING: "Lagarde has to deal with a worsening economic outlook in the eurozone, but we suspect she will stick to data dependency and a hawkish tone."
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.