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Large Banks Saw Deposit Flight In Reversal Of Haven Seeking, Pace To Slow Ahead?

US
  • Released late Friday, weekly banking assets & liabilities data showed further large deposit withdrawals for the second week capturing fallout from regional banking woes (ending Wed 22 Mar).
  • Net outflows increased to $133B from a notably upward revised $129B (initially $53B), large but not outstandingly so for raw weekly changes.
  • The withdrawals look relatively larger in seasonally adjusted terms, at $126B after a heavily upward revised $174B the week prior (initially $98B). The latest decline is the largest since 19 Sep 2001 (pullback from a spike the week prior), whilst the previous week’s decline was the largest withdrawal since at least 2000.

  • Small domestic banks were behind the large revisions but of note saw no further flight after what had been by far the largest outflow since at least 2000 in both NSA ($185B) and SA ($196B) terms.
  • The main change was that withdrawals were focused in large domestic banks ($90B) in the latest week, almost reversing the prior week’s haven-seeking. Whilst on the large side, it saw a return of outflows since Mar’22 at the start of the Fed hiking cycle.
  • Money market funds have continued to benefit from deposit outflows although the rate of increase slowed. The ICI data, with one week more data for the week to Wed 29 Mar, showed MMF assets increasing $66B after two particularly strong weekly increases of $117B and $121B.

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