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Free AccessLarrainVial Expects BCCH Statement To Have Dovish Undertones
- LarrainVial expects the BCCh to keep its key monetary policy rate unchanged at 11.25% this week “though we are inclined to believe that the wording of its monetary policy outlook will be tinged with dovish undertones,” the director of research wrote.
- LarrainVial doesn’t rule out that the central bank cuts its key rate by 150-200 basis points in April and expects GDP to contract by about 4% in 1Q23 and inflation to slow down to single digits.
- They add that they see GDP contracting 2% in 2023, non-mining GDP to fall 2.8% mostly from contraction in domestic demand and lower fixed investment. GDP is expected to grow 4% in 2024.
- Current account deficit to narrow to 1.5% of GDP by Dec. 2023 from 9.9% in 3Q22 as imports fall and maritime freight rates fall as well as copper rising.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.