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Lee Widens Poll Lead Over Yoon

SOUTH KOREA

The latest Realmeter survey of 3,042 adults shows that the ruling Democratic Party (DP) presidential candidate Lee Jae-myung is leading the main opposition People Power Party (PPP) candidate Yoon Suk-yeol by 6 percentage points.

  • The poll puts Lee on 40.1%, with Yoon on 34.1%, as support for the PPP candidate fell 5pp from the previous poll. The most recent survey covered a period when Yoon dissolved his campaign team in a bid to start afresh just two months ahead of the election.
  • The betting markets (as indicated by data from PredictIt & Smarkets) clearly favour Lee at the moment, even as Yoon held a comfortable lead earlier in the campaign. This turn of events is due to a notable decline in the support for the main opposition candidate since around mid-December.
  • The steady erosion in support for Yoon has been driven by an internal strife within PPP, which culminated in the aforementioned replacement of his campaign committee. Some have also pointed to negative publicity surrounding Yoon's poor showing in a widely circulated Christmas Day YouTube interview, as well as a scandal involving his wife, who allegedly lied on her CV.
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