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Little action expected from........>

EMERGING MARKETS
EMERGING MARKETS: Little action expected from emerging market CBs this week:
- Bank Negara Malaysia (Tues): Overnight Policy Rate exp. unch at 3.25%. BNM
hasn't raised rates for over a year and the January CPI print of -0.7% is
expected to have been enough to keep policymakers on hold for another month.
- Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey (Weds): One-week Repo Rate exp. unch at
24%. Inline February CPI and the proximity to local elections in March justifies
an unchanged decision. Market expects further rate cuts in Q2 this year, but
conviction is lacking.
- NBP Poland (Weds): Base rate exp. unch at 1.5%. NBP members remain confident
rates will remain unchanged through 2019. Recent NBP comments include "fiscal
stimulus does not change my views [...] with a lot of certainty, we can say
[rates] will stay unchanged in 2019".
- National Bank of Serbia (Thurs): Repo rate exp. unch at 3%. With inflation
expected to stay below 3% throughout 2019, NBS likely to keep on hold.
- Central Bank of Peru (Thurs): Reference Rate exp. unch at 2.75%. Inline Q4 GDP
and tame CPI for February to keep rates on hold for now.

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