Little Change In Polling Following Ouster Of Lofven Gov't

Latest opinion polling from Sweden shows little change in party support after the political theatrics of the past week, with the gov't of PM Stefan Lofven ousted in a vote of no confidence in parliament (Riksdag). This resulted in Lofven tendering his resignation to the speaker of the parliament, who can now offer the mandate to form a gov't to party leaders he thinks can put together a parliamentary majority.

• Sweden, Novus poll: Social Democrats: 26% (=), Moderates: 22% (-1), Sweden Democrats: 21% (+2), Left Party: 11% (+1), Centre Party: 8% (-1), Christian Democrats: 5% (=), Greens: 4% (=), Liberals: 3% (+1). +/- vs. 3 May - 6 June 2021. Fieldwork: 21-27 June 2021. Sample size: 2,408.
• With the libertarian Liberals now no longer supporting the continuation of a Lofven gov't, if the Social Democrat party leader is to re-form a gov't it will require the support of all MPs from his party, the environmentalist Greens, agrarian Centre Party, and socialist Left Party. Given the Left voted in favour of Lofven's ousting in the vote of no confidence, this cannot be assured.
• Speaker Andreas Norlen has four attempts to find an individual able to put together majority support in parliament. If these fail a snap election will take place, although the next gov't would be short-lived with a general election taking place in September 2022 whether a snap vote occurs in 2021 or not.