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Little Changed Amid Limited Newsflow; Peripheries Mixed

EGBS

Core/semi-core EGBs are little changed to begin the week, with limited market moving newsflow over the weekend following last week's ECB meeting and US labour market report.

  • ECB's Kazimir joined last week's contingent of speakers who prefer waiting till June before beginning the easing cycle, noting that upside risks to inflation remain.
  • Bunds are flat at 133.76, with 134.18 (Feb 7 high) the first support. Last week's price action saw a clear break of resistance at the 50-day EMA, signalling scope for an extension.
  • German and French cash yields are -0.5bps lower to 1.5bps higher, with the curve lightly twist flattening.
  • 10-year periphery spreads to Bunds are mixed, with Spanish/Italian spreads a touch wider and Portuguese/Greek spreads tighter. See our earlier post for details on the impact of this weekend's Portuguese election result.
  • This week's regional data calendar is reasonably quiet (though we get final February HICP readings from the four major economies). UK labour market data and US CPI tomorrow will be of interest.

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