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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Get the latest on Central Bank Policy and FX & FI Markets to help inform both your strategic and tactical decision-making.
Free AccessMNI ASIA MARKETS ANALYSIS:Waiting For Next Inflation Shoe Drop
Key Inter-Meeting Fed Speak – Dec 2024
US TREASURY AUCTION CALENDAR: Avg 3Y Sale
Little Progress On Debt Ceiling Weighs On Risk Appetite, RBNZ On Tap
NZD/USD prints at $0.6240/45, the pair fell ~0.6% on Tuesday.
- Kiwi was pressured through Tuesday's session as concerns over the lack of progress on the US Debt Ceiling weighed. House Republicans questioned the urgency of the deadline imposed by Tsy Sec Yellen for when the government will start missing debt payments.
- NZD/USD broke below the 200-Day EMA ($0.6259) and sits a touch below the 20-day EMA ($0.6250), support was seen below the $0.6240 and losses were marginally pared.
- Rate differentials, observed via 2 year swaps, sit at +128bps which is a fresh cycle high and the highest level since the SVB crisis.
- Bulls target the high from 11 May at $0.6385, on the downside bears first look to break the low 12 May $0.6182.
- AUD/NZD is consolidating in a narrow range see-sawing around the $1.06 handle.
- Cross asset wise; S&P500 fell ~1.1% and BBDXY rose 0.2%. 10 Year US Treasury Yields fell 2bps.
- The latest monetary policy decision from the RBNZ headlines Wednesday's docket, the bank is expected to lift the OCR by 25bps to 5.50%. We also have Q1 Retail Sales ex Inflation, a rise of 0.2% is forecast.
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.