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LNG: Global LNG Market Vulnerable to Further Short Term Tightening: ICIS

LNG

The global LNG market is vulnerable to further short term tightening after recent demand in Asia due to unseasonably high temperatures and with hurricane threats to US exports, according to ICIS. Egypt could also tender for more LNG cargoes if Middle Eastern tensions threaten Israeli pipeline flows.

  • The global LNG market is forecast 1m tonnes short across Summer 24 compared to the previous expectation of 1m tonnes long. Winter 24/25 is forecast undersupplied by 29m tonnes instead of 18m tonnes short.
  • EU11+GB LNG imports were up to 5.5m tonnes in August from the lowest volume of the year of 5.1 tonnes in July. Spot volumes accounted for 21% of the August inflows, 5 percentage points higher than July.
  • Total gas supplies to the region were revised slightly lower to 1,695TWh with 35% from Norway and 30% from LNG. The forecast to winter supplies was revised 12% lower to 1,941TWh with 33% from Norway and 31% from LNG. 

 

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The global LNG market is vulnerable to further short term tightening after recent demand in Asia due to unseasonably high temperatures and with hurricane threats to US exports, according to ICIS. Egypt could also tender for more LNG cargoes if Middle Eastern tensions threaten Israeli pipeline flows.

  • The global LNG market is forecast 1m tonnes short across Summer 24 compared to the previous expectation of 1m tonnes long. Winter 24/25 is forecast undersupplied by 29m tonnes instead of 18m tonnes short.
  • EU11+GB LNG imports were up to 5.5m tonnes in August from the lowest volume of the year of 5.1 tonnes in July. Spot volumes accounted for 21% of the August inflows, 5 percentage points higher than July.
  • Total gas supplies to the region were revised slightly lower to 1,695TWh with 35% from Norway and 30% from LNG. The forecast to winter supplies was revised 12% lower to 1,941TWh with 33% from Norway and 31% from LNG. 

 

Keep reading...Show less