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Local Rates, Equities Under Pressure Amidst Potential Sheinbaum Supermajority

MEXICO
  • Mexican assets remain under pressure in the wake of the weekend’s election, which has raised the prospect of Morena securing a supermajority in both the Chamber of Deputies and the Senate, potentially opening the door to a constitutional reform. Yields have risen across the TIIE curve and are trading c18bp higher at the long end. Equities are also trading in the red, with the benchmark index over 1.5% lower on the day.
  • Official election results are due later this week, but preliminary results suggest that Morena and its allies could obtain enough seats in the Chamber of Deputies to secure a qualified majority and would be close to the 85 seats required of doing the same in the Senate. Analysts highlight the risk of potential judicial reform, noting that Morena is likely to appoint four members to the Supreme Court, which could prevent the court from ruling future reforms unconstitutional.

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