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Lowest Inflation Expectations In Almost A Year, CPI Peak?

AUSTRALIA DATA

The Melbourne Institute’s measure of consumer inflation expectations eased to 5.1% in February from 5.6% last month suggesting that households believe that the RBA’s tightening will reduce inflation. The trend is also signalling that inflation may have peaked. This is the lowest rate in almost a year but the real test will be whether it can break through the 5% level. This series has been above 5% since March 2022. If the easing in inflation expectations can be sustained it will be a welcome development, especially given the moderation in the 3-month average of the NAB business survey’s cost and price measures.


MI Consumer inflation expectations vs monthly CPI y/y%

Source: MNI - Market News/Refinitiv/ABS

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