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(M4) Bear Flag

US 10YR FUTURE TECHS
  • RES 4: 110-06 High Apr 4
  • RES 3: 109-26+ High Apr 10
  • RES 2: 109-22+ 50-day EMA
  • RES 1: 108-22+ High Apr 19 and the 20-day EMA
  • PRICE: 107-26+ @ 11:04 BST Apr 25
  • SUP 1: 107-13+ Low Apr 16
  • SUP 2: 107-07+ 76.4% of the Oct - Dec ‘23 bull leg (cont)
  • SUP 3: 106-27 2.764 proj of Dec 27 - Jan 19 - Feb 1 price swing
  • SUP 4: 106-08 3.00 proj of Dec 27 - Jan 19 - Feb 1 price swing

The trend outlook in Treasuries is unchanged and the direction is down. Last week’s move lower reinforces current conditions and marks a resumption of this year’s bear trend. Furthermore, MA studies are in a bear-mode set-up, highlighting a clear downtrend. Note too that the recent consolidation appears to be a flag formation - a bearish continuation pattern. Sights are on 107.07+ next, a Fibonacci retracement. Firm resistance is 108-22+, the 20-day EMA.

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  • RES 4: 110-06 High Apr 4
  • RES 3: 109-26+ High Apr 10
  • RES 2: 109-22+ 50-day EMA
  • RES 1: 108-22+ High Apr 19 and the 20-day EMA
  • PRICE: 107-26+ @ 11:04 BST Apr 25
  • SUP 1: 107-13+ Low Apr 16
  • SUP 2: 107-07+ 76.4% of the Oct - Dec ‘23 bull leg (cont)
  • SUP 3: 106-27 2.764 proj of Dec 27 - Jan 19 - Feb 1 price swing
  • SUP 4: 106-08 3.00 proj of Dec 27 - Jan 19 - Feb 1 price swing

The trend outlook in Treasuries is unchanged and the direction is down. Last week’s move lower reinforces current conditions and marks a resumption of this year’s bear trend. Furthermore, MA studies are in a bear-mode set-up, highlighting a clear downtrend. Note too that the recent consolidation appears to be a flag formation - a bearish continuation pattern. Sights are on 107.07+ next, a Fibonacci retracement. Firm resistance is 108-22+, the 20-day EMA.