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Free AccessMacron, Le Pen Still Out Ahead In Polls As Regional Election Approaches
The latest hypothetical first and second round presidential election opinion polls from Harris Interactive show incumbent President Emmanuel Macron and right-wing National Rally (RN) leader Marine Le Pen leading the way in all hypothetical first round polls. Macron retains a narrow lead in the hypothetical second round poll between himself and Le Pen.
- All candidates presidential election poll (1st round): Le Pen (RN): 27% (-1), Macron (LREM): 26% (+1), Bertrand (LR): 13% (-1), Mélenchon (FI): 11%, Hidalgo (PS): 7%, Jadot (EELV): 6%, Dupont Aignan (DLF): 3%. Harris Interactive, 14 June 21. Chgs w/ 7 June 21.
- Mélenchon as a FI-EELV-PS candidate. Macron (LREM): 29 %, Le Pen (RN): 29%, Bertrand (LR): 14%, Mélenchon (FI-EELV-PS): 13%, Dupont Aignan (DLF): 5%, Roussel (PCF): 3%, Poutou (NPA): 2%. Harris Interactive, 14/06/21
- Hidalgo as a PS-EELV-FI candidate. Le Pen (RN): 29%, Macron (LREM): 28%, Bertrand (LR): 15%, Hidalgo (PS-EELV-FI): 9%, Dupont Aignan (DLF): 5%, Roussel (PCF): 4%, Poutou (NPA) : 3 %. Harris Interactive, 14/06/21
- Jadot as a EELV-PS-FI candidate. Le Pen (RN): 29%, Macron (LREM): 28%, Bertrand (LR): 14%, Jadot (EELV-PS-FI): 12%, Roussel (PCF): 4%, Dupont Aignan (DLF): 4%, Poutou (NPA): 3%. Harris Interactive, 14/06/21
- Presidential election poll (2nd round): Macron (LREM) : 53% (=), Le Pen (RN): 47% (=). Harris Interactive, 14/06/21. Chgs w/ 7 June
- All eyes in French politics for the next two weeks will be on the regional elections taking place on 20 June and 27 June. The last time elections were held for France's 17 regional presidencies in 2015, the two most popular parties were the centre-right Union for a Popular Movement and the centre-left Socialist Party. The former no longer exists (reincarnated as Les Republicains) and the latter struggles to get into double-digits in nationwide opinion polling.
- A strong result for Le Pen's RN could provide a timely boost with the presidential election a year away, especially if the party can gain control of regional presidencies from the current holder from the centre-right or centre-left. For Macron's centrist Republique En Marche (REM) the election is likely to prove an effort in damage limitation given the poor regional polls for the party heading into the election.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.