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MNI EGB Issuance, Redemption and Cash Flow Matrix - W/C Jan 10

  • The Netherlands, Austria, Germany and Italy are all scheduled to hold auctions next week. From auctions we look for gross nominal issuance of E15.7bln for the week.
  • The EFSF has put out an RFP so we would expect a Monday transaction there, we also look out for potential syndications either next week or the week after from Belgium, Ireland, Spain, France and Greece.
  • There are no notable redemptions or coupon payments in the week ahead.
  • This leaves estimated net nominal issuance at E15.7bln for the week (which will increase with syndications). This is up from the E6.4bln net nominal issuance seen this week.
Full document:

EZ220110.pdf

Week Ahead Supply:

  • The Netherlands will kick off next week’s auctions on Tuesday morning with a new 4-year 0% Jan-26 DSL to be launched via conventional MTS auction for E3-5bln. We expect the top of the range to be achieved.
  • Austria will then come to the market with up to E1.495bln available across its 10/30-year RAGBs: the 0% Feb-31 RAGB and the 0% Mar-51 RAGB.
  • Germany will conclude Tuesday’s issuance with E750mln of the 0.10% Apr-33 Index-Linked Bund available.
  • Germany will return to the market on Tuesday to sell E1.5bln of the 30-year 0% Aug-52 Bund.
  • On Thursday, Italy will look to sell 3/7/15+ BTPs with details to be announced on Monday. For the 3/7-year BTPs we expect reopenings of the 0% Dec-24 BTP and the 0.40% Feb-29 BTP.

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