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MNI EGB Issuance, Redemption and Cash Flow Matrix - W/C Oct 30

  • Italy, Germany, Spain, France and Belgium are all due to issue in the week ahead. We pencil in gross nominal issuance of E29.5bln, up from E21.1bln this week.
  • The week ahead sees redemptions of E33.3bln: largely due to a formerly 10-year Spanish Obli for E21.1bln and a formerly 30-year Italian BTP for E12.0bln.
  • Coupon payments for the week total E13.2bln of which E8.7bln are Spanish and E4.3bln Italian.
  • This leaves net flows for the week an estimated negative E16.3bln versus negative E50.6bln this week.

For more see the PDF here:

EZ231030.pdf

Week Ahead Supply

  • Italy will kick off issuance for the week on Tuesday with a 5/10-year BTP / CCTeu auction with a combined total of up to E8.75bln on offer: E1.0-1.5bln of the off-the-run 2.20% Jun-27 BTP (ISIN: IT0005240830), E2.0-2.5bln of the on-the-run 5-year 4.10% Feb-29 BTP (ISIN: IT0005566408), E3.0-3.5bln of the on-the-run 10-year 4.20% Mar-34 BTP (ISIN: IT0005560948) and E1.00-1.25bln of the 0.80% Oct-28 CCTeu (ISIN: IT0005534984).
  • Germany will also come to the market on Tuesday with E1bln of the 1.80% Aug-53 Green Bund (ISIN: DE0001030757) on offer.
  • Germany will return to the market on Wednesday with E3bln of the 2.40% Nov-30 Bund (ISIN: DE000BU27006) on offer.
  • Spain will look to hold a Bono / Obli / ObliEi auction on Thursday with the on-the-run 5-year 3.50% May-29 Bono (ISIN: ES0000012M51), the off-the-run 0.70% Apr-32 Obli (ISIN: ES0000012K20), the on-the-run 30-year 1.90% Oct-52 Obli (ISIN: ES0000012K46) and the 0.70% Nov-33 Obli-Ei (ISIN: ES0000012C12) all on offer. The auction sizes will be announced on Monday.
  • France will then come to the market to hold a LT OAT auction with on-the-run 10/30/50-year OATs on offer alongside the 20-year Green OAT for a total of E9.5-11.0bln: the 3.50% Nov-33 OAT (ISIN: FR001400L834), the 3.00% May-54 OAT (ISIN: FR001400FTH3), the 0.50% May-72 OAT (ISIN: FR0014001NN8) and the 0.50% Jun-44 Green OAT (ISIN: FR0014002JM6).
  • Belgium will complete issuance for the week on Friday with an ORI operation. Up to E500mln of off-the-run OLOs is likely to be on offer.

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