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MBA Mortgage Apps Nudge Higher After Potential Peak For Fed Rates

US DATA
  • MBA composite mortgage applications rose 6.3% last week (refis +10%, purchases +5%) after -1.2%.
  • It was buoyed after the FOMC signalled a potential pause, which helped drive a marginal reduction in the 30Y confirming rate to 6.48% (-2bp), albeit still firmly in the middle of the range seen in the year to date.
  • The level of purchase mortgages are almost 20% above February lows after some stabilization in the market but they remain historically depressed.
  • No change in the jumbo loan spread of note, back up 2bps to 15bps.


30Y rate (white), 10Y Tsy yield (pink), spread (red) and level of mortgage purchase applications (green)Source: Bloomberg

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