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MEXICO: USDMXN Extends Gains to 2.15%, Back Above August 04 Highs

MEXICO
  • After a subdued overnight session where USDMXN held a relatively tight range around 19.80, initial risk-off sentiment and the then renewed demand for the greenback have prompted a substantial move lower for Latin American currencies and the Mexican Peso has not been immune.
  • USDMXN has extended gains to as much as 2.15% in recent trade, rising to a session high of 20.2374 and has further exhibited the high volatility on show this week.
  • Price action brings the pair back above initial resistance, which is seen at 20.2181, the Aug 5 high. It is also worth noting that Wednesday’s sharp pullback from the intraday high and yesterday’s bearish price action, highlights a potential short-term top.
  • Despite the bearish technical signal, short-term positioning is likely to be much cleaner now, and therefore developments surrounding potential Trump policies will still be eagerly anticipated by both market participants and policy makers alike.
  • As noted earlier, Banxico meets next week and while a 25bp rate cut is broadly expected, developments in the currency could still play an important role in the board’s decision-making progress going forward.
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  • After a subdued overnight session where USDMXN held a relatively tight range around 19.80, initial risk-off sentiment and the then renewed demand for the greenback have prompted a substantial move lower for Latin American currencies and the Mexican Peso has not been immune.
  • USDMXN has extended gains to as much as 2.15% in recent trade, rising to a session high of 20.2374 and has further exhibited the high volatility on show this week.
  • Price action brings the pair back above initial resistance, which is seen at 20.2181, the Aug 5 high. It is also worth noting that Wednesday’s sharp pullback from the intraday high and yesterday’s bearish price action, highlights a potential short-term top.
  • Despite the bearish technical signal, short-term positioning is likely to be much cleaner now, and therefore developments surrounding potential Trump policies will still be eagerly anticipated by both market participants and policy makers alike.
  • As noted earlier, Banxico meets next week and while a 25bp rate cut is broadly expected, developments in the currency could still play an important role in the board’s decision-making progress going forward.