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Mid-Day Gas Summary: TTF Finds Support

NATGAS

TTF front month has traded through the high of last week with support from geopolitical risks and with Norway supply outages this week. LNG supply risks in Asia add to risk of global competition for the fuel as Malaysia’s Bintulu plant slowly ramps up after outage earlier this month and with Australia’s Gorgon still offline.

  • TTF JUN 24 up 3.7% at 31.92€/MWh
  • TTF Q3 24 up 3.4% at 32.62€/MWh
  • Norwegian pipeline supplies to Europe are today nominated at 317.3mcm/d. Gassco data shows outages of 41mcm/d today will rise to 177mcm/d tomorrow amid works at Troll and Kollsnes before declining back to around 55mcm/d later this week.
  • Temperatures in NW and central Europe are still forecasts to hold above normal throughout the two-week outlook.
  • Total European gas storage was up to 66.77% full on May 18 according to GIE compared to the five-year seasonal average of 52.8% but with injection rates back below normal in recent days.
  • Seven LNG vessels are waiting offshore at the Bintulu export facility in Malaysia as exports slowly recover after an outage due to power loss earlier this month, according to Bloomberg ship-tracking data.
  • The LNG vessel Minerva Limnos delivered a US LNG cargo into Jordan over the weekend according to ICIS.
  • LNG imports to China are surging with buyers incentivized by lower prices this year according to BNEF.
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TTF front month has traded through the high of last week with support from geopolitical risks and with Norway supply outages this week. LNG supply risks in Asia add to risk of global competition for the fuel as Malaysia’s Bintulu plant slowly ramps up after outage earlier this month and with Australia’s Gorgon still offline.

  • TTF JUN 24 up 3.7% at 31.92€/MWh
  • TTF Q3 24 up 3.4% at 32.62€/MWh
  • Norwegian pipeline supplies to Europe are today nominated at 317.3mcm/d. Gassco data shows outages of 41mcm/d today will rise to 177mcm/d tomorrow amid works at Troll and Kollsnes before declining back to around 55mcm/d later this week.
  • Temperatures in NW and central Europe are still forecasts to hold above normal throughout the two-week outlook.
  • Total European gas storage was up to 66.77% full on May 18 according to GIE compared to the five-year seasonal average of 52.8% but with injection rates back below normal in recent days.
  • Seven LNG vessels are waiting offshore at the Bintulu export facility in Malaysia as exports slowly recover after an outage due to power loss earlier this month, according to Bloomberg ship-tracking data.
  • The LNG vessel Minerva Limnos delivered a US LNG cargo into Jordan over the weekend according to ICIS.
  • LNG imports to China are surging with buyers incentivized by lower prices this year according to BNEF.