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MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Lt Gov John Fetterman (D-PA) is outperforming expectations in the Pennsylvania Senate race.
- With Lt Gov Mandela Barnes (D-WI) and Rep Tim Ryan (D-OH) both trailing in their races, the Pennsylvania Senate race is now considered the most likely chance for Democrats to flip a GOP Senate seat.
- Fetterman maintained a double digit polling advantage over Trump-endorsed celebrity surgeon Mehmet Oz (R) during much of the summer but the race tipped in favour of Oz during the GOP October surge over concerns surrounding Fetterman's health.
- Jonathan Tamari of the Philly Enqurely reports that Fetterman, and Democrat gubernatorial candidate Josh Shapiro, are outperforming President Biden on the President's own turf: "Lackawanna County - 92% of the vote counted: Fetterman has 57% of the vote Shapiro has 61% Biden got 54% This is where SCRANTON is."
- Implications: If Fetterman wins in PA, the GOP will need to flip two of the tossup Democrat seats, Georgia (currently on a knife-edge and potentially heading to a runout, Nevada, or Arizona which have yet to report early counts).
Chart 1: Pennsylvania Senate Race (Implied Probability % Smarkets)
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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