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Mildly Cheaper Ahead Of Data, Fedspeak and TIPS Supply

US TSYS
  • Cash Tsys are mildly cheaper on the day ahead of the US session, broadly consolidating the late partial paring of yesterday’s sizeable gains in the case of the front-end, or simply consolidating the large gains seen further out the curve.
  • 2YY +0.9bp at 4.976%, 5YY +0.4bp at 4.373%, 10YY +0.8bp at 4.200%, 30YY +0.2bp at 4.272%.
  • TYU3 trades 4 ticks lower at the low end of a narrow range,. Earlier highs of 109-31+ tallied with yesterday’s high after which lies resistance at the 20-day EMA of 110-11, although the bounce is deemed corrective with ultimately focus on support at 108-28 (Aug 22 low). Volumes are elevated at 390k as the roll should more earnestly get underway ahead of Aug 31 first notice.
  • Data: Durable goods Jul prelim (0830ET), Weekly jobless claims (0830ET), Chicago Fed National Activity Index Jul (0830ET), Kansas City Fed Mfg Activity Aug (1100ET)
  • Fedspeak: Harker with CNBC (1000ET), Collins with Yahoo! Finance (1115ET). The full JH Symposium agenda is released at 2000ET today but Powell is already known to speak tomorrow 1005ET.
  • Note/bond issuance: US Tsy $8B 30Y TIPS Reopen (912810TP3) (1300ET)
  • Bill issuance: US Tsy $80B 4W, $70B 8W Bill auctions
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