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Milk Futures, Agriculture & Global Equities Main Drivers Last Week

NZD

NZD/USD correlations with Milk Futures, Agriculture and Global Equities have strengthened over the past week, standing out as a key macro driver in recent dealings. The table below presents levels of correlations between NZD and key macro drivers (note the yield differential reflects swap rates).

  • NZD/USD fell ~0.3% yesterday in a volatile week of trading observing a $0.5770/5870 range for the most part. The Kiwi's main drivers look to be associated with Milk Futures, Global Equities and Agriculture.
  • The pair looked through a rise in Global Commodity Prices last week and also in the longer time frame.
  • Over the longer time frame Global Equities and 2-Year Yield Differentials continue to be the dominant macro drivers in the pair.

Fig 1: NZD/USD Correlation with Global Macro Drivers:

Source: MNI/Bloomberg

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