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Free Access**MNI 5 THINGS:Beige Book:US Labor Mkt Conditions Still Tight>
--Five Things We Learned From the May 30 Beige Book
By Sara Haire, Holly Stokes, and Kevin Kastner
WASHINGTON (MNI) - The following are the key points from the
Beige Book compiled by the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland through
May 21, 2018:
- Labor markets continued to be tight across the country with firms
noting difficulty filling positions across "all skill levels."
Employment in most districts rose modestly to moderately, with Dallas
being the exception where "solid and widespread" growth in employment
was reported. Despite the tight labor market, in the aggregate, "wage
increases remained modest in most districts." However, many firms have
noted that they have increased wages and compensation packages to combat
labor shortages in their sector. In the coming months, some contacts
expect similar employment and wage gains.
- No sign of a rampant acceleration in inflation, with most
districts citing that prices "rose moderately," while the rest reported
only slight or modest increases. Several reports of material and input
costs surfaced through the districts. The rise in input prices
accompanied by the labor shortage in some sectors has put upward
pressure on prices in the transportation, construction, and
manufacturing sectors.
- Overall economic activity expanded moderately across all firms in
late April and early May with "few shifts in the pattern of growth." The
exception being Dallas where economic activity reportedly sped up to a
"solid pace," the Beige Book reported. While contacts did voice concern
over the uncertainty of future trade policy, the outlooks for growth in
the near term were "generally upbeat."
- More than half of the districts reported a pickup in industrial
activity, while a third of the districts classified activity as
"strong," suggesting the manufacturing sector is on the rise, especially
noted in Dallas. Despite upticks in production, consumer spending "was
soft," with nonauto retail sales growth moderating while auto sales were
flat, however it did vary by district and vehicle type, the Beige Book
said.
- Despite consumer spending being reportedly "soft," the demand for
loans continued to tick higher causing competition to push deposit rates
higher. Delinquency rates were mostly stable at low levels.
** MNI Washington Bureau: 202-371-2121 **
[TOPICS: MAUDS$,M$U$$$,MAUDR$,MT$$$$,MMUFE$]
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.