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MNI 5 THINGS: Japan June Sentiment Up on Weather; Costs Feared

--Japan June Econ Watchers Current Index 48.1; May 47.1
--Japan June Watchers Current Index Posts 1st M/M Rise in 2 Mths
--Japan June Watchers Outlook Index 50.0; May 49.2
--Japan June Watchers Outlook Index Posts 1st M/M Rise in 2 Mths
--Japan Govt Repeats: Signs of Moderate Recovery Pausing
--Japan Govt: Firms Concerned of Labor Shortages, Rising Prices
     TOKYO (MNI) - Japan's current and outlook sentiment indexes rebounded in
June, led by strong demand for beverages and air conditioners in light of a dry
rainy season and forecasts for hot summer months ahead, but concerns about
higher costs, labor shortages and U.S. trade rows linger, a key government
survey released Monday showed.
     The key points from the latest monthly Economy Watchers Survey, which was
conducted between June 25 and June 30.
     * The Economy Watchers sentiment index for Japan's current economic climate
rose 1.0 point to 48.1 in June on a seasonally adjusted basis after slumping 1.9
points to 47.1 in May on by disappointing sales during the Golden Week holidays
and falling profit margins amid higher costs. It was the first month-on-month
rise in two months. The index stayed below the key level of 50 for the sixth
consecutive month.
     * The Economy Watchers outlook index showed sentiment about the situation
two to three months ahead also marked the first rise in two months, rising 0.8
point to 50.0 in June after falling 0.9 point to 49.2 in May. In addition to
hopes for strong demand for beverages and summer clothing, the real estate
industry also reported that there were active inquiries for home purchases ahead
of the sales tax hike scheduled in October 2019.
     * "High temperatures in an unusually dry rainy season boosted sales of
seasonal goods," Shigeru Hirota, Cabinet Office director of regional economies,
told reporters. "The outlook sentiment for the retail sector also rose on the
forecasts for hot summer weather." The FIFA World Cup raised interest in
travelling overseas in general, supporting travel agencies, while some people
stayed home and watched the games, hurting sales at some restaurants and bars,
he said.
     * On the downside, comments made by Watchers showed there were persistent
concerns about higher energy and raw material costs as well as labor shortages
and the drag from the U.S. disputes with its major trading partners, the survey
showed.
     * The corporate sector sentiment for the current climate slumped in June,
hit by parts supply constraints for electrical machinery makers, while the
non-manufacturing sector confidence was also dampened by labor supply
constraints, Hirota noted.
     * The Cabinet Office maintained its overall economic assessment based on
the Economy Watchers Survey after downgrading it for the first time in four
months last month, saying, "The gradual recovery continues but there are signs
that it is taking a breather."
     "Looking ahead, there remain expectations for orders and business
investment, although there are concerns over labor shortages and rising costs,"
the Cabinet Office said, repeating its recent statement.
--MNI Tokyo Bureau; tel: +81 90-4670-5309; email: max.sato@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MAJDS$,M$A$$$,M$J$$$,MT$$$$]

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