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November 29, 2017 20:57 GMT
MNI Asian Morning FI Technical Analysis
30 November 2017
By Kyle Shortland
Click below for today's MNI FI Technical Analysis Report -
http://tinyurl.com/phluope
AUSSIE 3-YR TECHS: (Z17) 98.020-060 Support Region Key
*RES 4: 98.200 - Repeated daily highs June
*RES 3: 98.168 - 100-WMA
*RES 2: 98.130 - Low June 20 now resistance
*RES 1: 98.110 - High Nov 28 & 29
*PRICE: 98.110 @ 2030GMT
*SUP 1: 98.060 - Daily Lows Nov
*SUP 2: 98.050 - 21-DMA
*SUP 3: 98.020 - Low Nov 16 & 17
*SUP 4: 97.970 - 100-DMA
*COMMENTARY: The break of the key 98.090 resistance has lacked follow through
and remains capped ahead of 98.130. Bulls need a close above 98.130 to initially
target 98.168-200 and above 98.200 to shift focus to tests of 98.350 June highs.
The 98.020-060 support region where 21 (98.050) & 200 (98.040) DMAs are noted
remains key. Bears need a close below 98.020 to ease bullish pressure and shift
focus back to 97.900-970.
AUSSIE 10-YR TECHS: (Z17) 97.4400 & 97.5200 Levels Key
*RES 4: 97.6270 - Daily Bull channel top
*RES 3: 97.6100 - High June 27
*RES 2: 97.5274 - Bollinger band top
*RES 1: 97.5200 - Low June 20 now resistance
*PRICE: 97.5150 @ 2030GMT
*SUP 1: 97.4400 - Hourly support Nov 22
*SUP 2: 97.4112 - 21-DMA
*SUP 3: 97.3950 - Low Now 20
*SUP 4: 97.3345 - 200-DMA
*COMMENTARY: The close above 97.4500 reconfirmed the bullish bias and saw
immediate focus back on 97.5200. Bulls look for a close above 97.5200 to confirm
focus on 97.6100-6750 where June highs are noted. The Bollinger top (97.5274) is
currently the key concern for bulls. Bears still need a close below 97.4400 to
ease bullish pressure and shift initial focus to 97.3950-4112 where the 21-DMA
is noted.
US 10-YR FUTURE TECHS: (H18) 125-00/14+ Resistance Region Key
*RES 4: 125-09+ 100-DMA
*RES 3: 125-06+ High Nov 7
*RES 2: 125-04+ Bollinger band top
*RES 1: 125-00 High Nov 28
*PRICE: 124-14 @ 2030GMT
*SUP 1: 124-08+ Low Nov 29
*SUP 2: 124-07+ Bollinger band base
*SUP 3: 124-06+ Low Nov 14
*SUP 4: 123-27 Lows Oct 25 & 27
*COMMENTARY: The pop above the 55-DMA (124-29) lacked follow through Tuesday
remaining capped around the bear channel top coming in at 124-29 today. Bulls
now need a close above 125-00 to ease bearish pressure and above 125.14+ to
shift immediate focus to 125-25+ Sept 25 highs. While 125-00 caps bears retain
the upper hand but need a close below 124-06+ to confirm focus on 123-12+/27
where the bear channel base is situated.
US 10-YR YIELD TECHS: 21-DMA Capping, 200-DMA Supporting
*RES 4: 2.477 - Monthly High Oct 27
*RES 3: 2.419 - Hourly support Oct 27 now resistance
*RES 2: 2.405 - Bollinger band top
*RES 1: 2.395 - High Nov 29
*PRICE: 2.379 @ 2030GMT
*SUP 1: 2.352 - 21-DMA
*SUP 2: 2.310 - Low Nov 28
*SUP 3: 2.305 - 200-DMA
*SUP 4: 2.282 - 100-DMA
*COMMENTARY: Pressure on the 200-DMA failed to produce a break lower with bulls
taking comfort in the close above the 21-DMA that sees bullish focus return to
the 2.419 resistance. Bulls need a close above this level to shift initial focus
to tests of Oct highs. Bears now need a close below the 21-DMA to ease bullish
pressure and return focus to the 2.273-3.305 support region where 100 & 200-DMAs
are noted. Daily studies are better placed for leg higher than lower.
JGB TECHS: (Z17) 21-DMA Support Key
*RES 4: 151.44 - Daily Bull channel top
*RES 3: 151.33 - High Sept 12
*RES 2: 151.21 - Low Sept 2 now resistance
*RES 1: 151.13 - High Nov 24
*PRICE: 150.98 @ 2030GMT
*SUP 1: 150.94 - Alternating support/resistance
*SUP 2: 150.91 - Daily Bull Channel base
*SUP 3: 150.88 - High Nov 16 now support
*SUP 4: 150.86 - 21-DMA
*COMMENTARY: The daily bull channel base off Oct 23 lows confirmed significance
with the contract bouncing from a dip back to this support and the 21-DMA noted
just below. Bulls look for a close above 151.13 to shift immediate focus to
151.21 and above this level to target the channel top. Bears need a close below
the 21-DMA to confirm traction below the bull channel base and shift initial
focus back to key DMAs 150.55-67.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +44 207-862-7435; email: kyle.shortland@mni-news.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE]
To read the full story
Close
Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
Sign up now for free trial access to this content.
Please enter your details below.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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