MNI Asian Morning FI Technical Analysis

6 March 2018

By Kyle Shortland

Click below for today's MNI FI Technical Analysis Report -

http://tinyurl.com/phluope

     AUSSIE 3-YR TECHS: (H18) 55-DMA & 98.015 Levels Key 

*RES 4: 98.015 - Alternating daily support resistance 

*RES 3: 97.986 - 200-WMA 

*RES 2: 97.970 - 200-DMA 

*RES 1: 97.955 - High Dec 15

*PRICE: 97.900 @ 2030GMT

*SUP 1: 97.875 - Low Mar 1

*SUP 2: 97.835 - 55-DMA 

*SUP 3: 97.790 - Low Feb 8 

*SUP 4: 97.755 - Low Feb 5

*COMMENTARY: Support emerging on dips ensures that focus remains on layers of

resistance 97.955-98.015 with key MAs and the daily bear channel top off June

highs situated in this region. Bulls need a close above 98.015 to shift initial

focus to 98.111-132 where the 100-WMA and Nov highs are noted. Bears continue to

look for a close below the 55-DMA to ease bullish pressure and below 97.790 to

return initial focus to tests of 2018 lows (97.690).

     AUSSIE 10-YR TECHS: (H18) 21 & 200-DMAs Key This Week 

*RES 4: 97.3211 - 200-DMA

*RES 3: 97.3182 - 55-WMA

*RES 2: 97.3050 - High Mar 2

*RES 1: 97.2450 - Hourly support Mar 1 now resistance

*PRICE: 97.2200 @ 2230GMT

*SUP 1: 97.2197 - 55-DMA

*SUP 2: 97.1950 - Low Feb 28

*SUP 3: 97.1750 - Hourly resistance Feb 23 now support

*SUP 4: 97.1686 - 21-DMA

*COMMENTARY: Bulls take comfort in support emerging on dips back towards 97.175.

In saying that, bulls still need a close above the 200-DMA to hint at a move

back to 97.5200 Dec highs and above 97.3850 2018 highs to confirm. Bears now

need a close below the 21-DMA to shift focus back to 97.0167-0450 where 2018

lows and the LT bull channel base off 2008 lows are noted.

     US 10-YR FUTURE TECHS: (M18) 121-01+ Resistance Remains Key

*RES 4: 121-24+ 55-DMA

*RES 3: 121-01+ High Feb 7

*RES 2: 120-24+ Daily Bear channel top (off Jan 2 high)

*RES 1: 120-07  Hourly support Mar 2 now resistance

*PRICE: 120-00+ @ 2030GMT

*SUP 1: 119-21  Repeated Daily lows Feb

*SUP 2: 119-14  Monthly Low Feb 15

*SUP 3: 118-24  Low Apr 13 2011

*SUP 4: 118-21  Daily Bear channel base

*COMMENTARY: Bulls failed to capitalise on gains with the contract remaining

capped ahead of the bear channel top. Bulls still need a close above 121-01+ to

shift initial focus to 121-24+/122-02 where the 55-DMA is located. The break of

120-00 adds to bearish confidence with a close below 119-21 remaining needed to

confirm focus on 118-21/24 where the bear channel base is noted.

     US 10-YR YIELD TECHS: Bulls Gain Breathing Room

*RES 4: 3.041 - 2014 High Jan 2 

*RES 3: 2.957 - 2018 High Feb 21 

*RES 2: 2.946 - Bollinger band top 

*RES 1: 2.925 - High Feb 27

*PRICE: 2.884 @ 2030GMT

*SUP 1: 2.875 - Hourly resistance Feb 28 now support 

*SUP 2: 2.793 - Low Mar 2 

*SUP 3: 2.786 - Low Feb 9 

*SUP 4: 2.758 - Low Feb 7

*COMMENTARY: The lack of topside follow through on 2018 & 4yr highs was less

than ideal for bulls who were focused on 3.041 2014. Bears have so far failed to

capitalise on last week's sell-off with the yield bouncing from ahead of key

supports. Bears look for a close below 2.758 to end bullish hopes and shift

focus back to 2.609-648 where the 55-DMA is noted. Bulls need a close above

2.957 to reconfirm focus on 3.041.

     JGB TECHS: (H18) Above 151.19 To Target 2017 High 

*RES 4: 151.51 - 2017 High Sept 8

*RES 3: 151.19 - Monthly High Nov 22

*RES 2: 151.17 - Bollinger band top

*RES 1: 151.15 - 2018 High Mar 2

*PRICE: 151.04 @ 2030GMT

*SUP 1: 150.89 - Hourly resistance Mar 2 now support 

*SUP 2: 150.73 - Hourly support Mar 2 

*SUP 3: 150.55 - Low Mar 2 

*SUP 4: 150.51 - Low Feb 15

*COMMENTARY: Last week's volatility has resulted in pressure returning to the

151.17-19 region where the Bollinger band top is situated. Bulls continue to

look for a close above 151.19 to initially target 151.51 2017 highs. The

Bollinger band top is the key concern for bulls with potential to limit follow

through. Bears now need a close below 150.89 to ease bullish pressure and below

150.47 to target 2018 lows.

--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +44 207-862-7435; email: kyle.shortland@mni-news.com

[TOPICS: MTABLE]