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MNI Asian Morning FI Technical Analysis

3 May 2018
By Kyle Shortland
Click below for today's MNI FI Technical Analysis Report -
http://tinyurl.com/phluope
AUSSIE 3-YR TECHS: (M18) 97.800 Resistance Now Key 
*RES 4: 97.903 - 200-DMA 
*RES 3: 97.865 - High Apr 10 
*RES 2: 97.831 - 55-DMA 
*RES 1: 97.800 - High May 2
*PRICE: 97.765 @ 2130GMT
*SUP 1: 97.730 - Repeated daily resistance now support 
*SUP 2: 97.675 - 2018 Low Apr 24 
*SUP 3: 97.605 - 2015 Low Dec 15 2015 
*SUP 4: 97.510 - High Nov 25 2014 now support
*COMMENTARY: Follow through has been lacking on the break of 97.795 with the
contract looking offered and focus back on 97.730. bears now look for a close
below 97.730 to shift immediate focus back to 2018 lows and overall focus to
2015 lows. Bulls now need a close above 97.800 to ease bearish pressure and
above 97.865 to shift focus to 97.903-955 where the 200-DMA (97.903) is found.
     AUSSIE 10-YR TECHS: (M18) Bulls Need Close Above 200-WMA 
*RES 4: 97.3600 - High Apr 9
*RES 3: 97.3095 - 200-WMA
*RES 2: 97.2788 - 200-DMA
*RES 1: 97.2600 - High Apr 18
*PRICE: 97.1850 @ 2130GMT
*SUP 1: 97.1500 - High Apr 24 now support
*SUP 2: 97.0800 - Low Feb 21
*SUP 3: 97.0688 - Weekly Bull channel base off 2008 Low
*SUP 4: 97.0450 - 2018 Low Feb 6
*COMMENTARY: Hesitation ahead of the 97.0450-0800 support region has resulted in
a correction that now sees immediate focus on 97.2600-3095 where the 200-WMA is
located. Bulls now need a close above the 200-WMA to shift initial focus to
97.4000-4400. Correcting O/S daily studies remain the key concern for bears.
Bears now look for a close below 97.1500 to retain initial focus on 2018 lows.
     US 10-YR FUTURE TECHS: (M18) 119-08 Support Now Key
*RES 4: 120-20+ Hourly resistance Apr 12
*RES 3: 120-06+ High Apr 19, 55-DMA
*RES 2: 120-02+ Low Apr 18 now resistance
*RES 1: 119-29+ High Apr 20
*PRICE: 119-16+ @ 2130GMT
*SUP 1: 119-08 Low May 2
*SUP 2: 118-31 2018 Low Apr 25
*SUP 3: 118-24 Low Apr 13 2011
*SUP 4: 117-29+ Monthly Low Apr 8 2011
*COMMENTARY: Bulls take comfort in support emerging on the dip below 119-09 with
bears now needing a close below this level to ease renewed bullish pressure and
return initial focus to 2018 lows. Correcting O/S daily studies remain the key
concern for bears. Bulls now look for a close above Y120-06+ to initially target
a correction back to 120-20+/24 and above 120-24 to shift focus to 121-05-12.
     US 10-YR YIELD TECHS: Above 3.073 To Target 3.183-223
*RES 4: 3.041 - 2014 High Jan 2 
*RES 3: 3.035 - 2018 High Apr 25 
*RES 2: 3.018 - Hourly support Apr 26 now resistance 
*RES 1: 2.996 - High May 2
*PRICE: 2.974 @ 2130GMT
*SUP 1: 2.934 - Low Apr 30 
*SUP 2: 2.925 - Hourly support Apr 20 
*SUP 3: 2.904 - Low Apr 20 
*SUP 4: 2.876 - High Apr 18 now support
*COMMENTARY: Hesitation ahead of 2014 highs & 3.041-073 is a concern given daily
studies correcting from O/B and the proximity of the Bollinger top (3.051). The
close below 3.007 initially targets a correction to 2.925. Below 2.925 is needed
to shift initial focus back to 2.814-887 where 21 (2.887) & 55 (2.866) DMAs are
situated. Bulls look for a close above 3.073 to shift focus 3.183-223 where the
weekly bull channel top is noted.
     JGB TECHS: (M18) Bulls Now Need Close above 150.95
*RES 4: 151.15 - 2018 High Mar 2
*RES 3: 151.06 - High Mar 12
*RES 2: 151.03 - High Apr 12
*RES 1: 150.95 - Low Apr 12 now resistance
*PRICE: 150.93 @ 2130GMT
*SUP 1: 150.77 - Low May 2 
*SUP 2: 150.70 - Alternating daily support/resistance 
*SUP 3: 150.68 - 200-DMA 
*SUP 4: 150.52 - Alternating daily support/resistance
*COMMENTARY: Bulls take comfort in the closes above the 55-DMA (150.85) with
bulls now looking for a close above 150.95 to confirm initial focus on 151.03-06
where monthly highs are located. Bulls take comfort in support emerging on dips.
Bears now look for a close below 150.70 to shift focus back to 150.36-52 where
recent lows are noted.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +44 207-862-7435; email: kyle.shortland@mni-news.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE]

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