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MPC due at midday BST: How hawkish is Pill?


The September MPC meeting will not be accompanied by a new Monetary Policy Report, economic forecasts or press conference. The release will consist of the Monetary Policy Statement and the Minutes only.

There are three main questions we are left jostling with:

  • Do the majority of MPC members now agree that the necessary conditions for tightening (highlighted in the previous guidance) have now been met?
  • Has there been a shift in expectations regarding the temporary nature of inflation?
  • How hawkish is the new Chief Economist Huw Pill?

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