Free Trial

MNI BoT Preview - August 2022: Rising Core CPI Sets Stage For Hike

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

  • Thailand's headline inflation unexpectedly slowed in July, but price pressures broadened and growth in core CPI accelerated, virtually touching the upper limit of the BoT's official tolerance band. Headline inflation remains well above the target range.
  • Concerns about the growth outlook and financial stability still constrain the BoT's ability to engage in aggressive policy normalisation, even as recent rhetoric suggested a pivot towards making inflation-fighting a priority.
  • We expect the BoT to deliver a 25bp rate hike this week, its first rate rise since late 2018, as the MPC launches efforts to curb price growth. The Committee will likely reaffirm its "flexible and agile" approach going forward.

Click to view the full preview: MNI BoT Preview August 2022.pdf

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.