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Free AccessMNI BRIEF: BOJ Survey Shows Sentiment Drop, Prices To Rise
High costs of living led 85.7% of respondents in the Bank of Japan's quarterly consumer survey to predict higher prices next year, a modest decline from 87.1% in June's survey, according to data released on Thursday.
Just 2.2% of respondents said prices would fall next year, up from 1.5% three months earlier. The proportion of those expecting little change 12 months ahead rose to 11% from 9.7%. The median CPI forecast stood at 5%, unchanged from 5% in June.
Looking five years ahead, 78.3% said prices would rise, down from 79.8% three months earlier, while 5.5% of respondents expect prices to fall, up from 3.5% in June. Those saying prices would be little changed fell to 13.8% from 14.1%.
The diffusion index that gauges household sentiment on current economic conditions fell 7.7 points to -58.4 in September, with more people saying sentiment had worsened judging from income levels and media reports, the survey showed
The number of people who said household circumstances worsened rose to 50.7% from 43.2%, citing rise in prices as the biggest reason (a record high of 84.5% vs. 78.9% in June).
The consumer sentiment outlook index projecting conditions a year ahead fell for a third consecutive survey, down 3.7 points to -32.4 in September from -28.7 in June.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.