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MNI BRIEF: Canada Realtors Double 2022 Sales Decline Forecast

(MNI) OTTAWA
OTTAWA (MNI)

The Canadian Real Estate Association nearly doubled its forecast of how much home sales will decline this year as the central bank lifts interest rates, to a 15% decline from the previous 8% estimate, while projecting prices will still climb 11%.

The interest rate used to stress test new borrowers jumped by almost a percentage point in April alone to more than 6%, and variable rates will catch up later this year, CREA said in a report Wednesday. The group also reported sales fell 8.6% in May following a 13% fall in April.

Sources have told MNI there's a risk of a hard landing as the BOC lifts interest rates, see: BOC Needs Faster Hikes, though Governor Tiff Macklem has said some give-back is healthy in a frothy market.

MNI Ottawa Bureau | +1 613-314-9647 | greg.quinn@marketnews.com
MNI Ottawa Bureau | +1 613-314-9647 | greg.quinn@marketnews.com

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