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Free AccessMNI BRIEF: China July New Loans Hit Near 14-Yr Low, TSF Slumps
China’s new loans and aggregate finance dipped more than expected in July, with M2 continuing to decelerate on a higher base comparison and weaker credit demand, the People's Bank of China data released Friday showed.
New loans grew CNY345.9 billion to hit the lowest level since November 2009, falling sharply from last month's CNY3.05 trillion increase and underperforming expectations of CNY780 billion. Total social financing grew by CNY528.2 billion to mark the lowest since July 2016, slumping from last month's CNY4.22 trillion, also missing the market consensus of CNY1.1 trillion. The outstanding TSF rose by 8.9% in July from the 9% growth registered in June.
M2 money supply slowed for the fifth consecutive month to 10.7% y/y, the lowest level since April 2022, compared to June's 11.3% and the 11% estimate. M1 increased 2.3% y/y, decelerating from June's 3.1%. Shadow banking transactions decreased by CNY172.4 billion compared to a CNY89.6 billion contraction the previous month.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.