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MNI BRIEF: Further Inflation Persistence Ups Pressure On BOE

(MNI) London

UK inflation data offered not relief for embattled Bank of England rate setters, as core inflation accelerated further and the headline number was unchanged on the higher-than-expected April outturn. The headline rate was again at 8.7%, outpacing both analyst and BOE forecasts, while core rose to 7.1%, beating the expected 6.8%.

The MPC meet Wednesday to decide the next move on interest rates and while a 25bps hike to 4.75% remains the most likely outcome, the chances now increase that a stronger argument will be made by the hawks for a return to 50bps increments.

Although there was little good news in the inflation data published by the Office for National Statistics, with service sector increases rising 7.4% y/y, the fastest pace since March 1992, the Bank could point to slower PPI and a modest decrease in food inflation. However, there was little for the doves to argue again against higher rates.

MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com
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MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com
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